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EXCERPT:
TWO
KLINGING
Absence makes the heart grow fonder. As we
landed in Miami,
I was already missing Sonia. But at this moment in my life,
Saratoga was my other woman. She had been good to me in the
past, but she was known for spurning even those who loved
her the most.
Another uncertainty hung over my arrival.
Vince, my Southern California action supplier, had suggested that I
get together with a guy named Panama Slim, an
L.A. real estate magnate. Vince explained that Slim could
have been the Donald Trump of L.A. But while Trump
cultivated celebrityhood, Slim, a la Howard Hughes, avoided
all contact with the media.
“Wherever you turn, you bump into a Panama Slim
building, especially in West L.A.”
Panama Slim was Vince’s landlord. Slim was a
rarity in the business, a hands-on landlord. He would
personally inspect the premises of his multitude of renters.
Vince called him a control freak. A few weeks back, Slim,
who had weighed in at 11 pounds at birth and sucked the
nipples of his mother like a trained torturer, had inspected
Vince’s store.
“I was worried he might object to the porno
section, but he didn’t blink. In passing, just small talk,
he mentioned he’d be away for a week on business in
Bolivia, and that was the second time in my 45 years of life
that I’d heard anyone mention Bolivia. You were the first.
So naturally I told him I had a friend who was now living in
Bolivia. First he asked if you were dependable. I thought
the question was strange, but of course I said yes. You know
me. I can’t hide the truth. Then he said he’d like to meet
you. I told him I’d talk to you. ”
Vince’s honest authenticity inspired people to
share information with him. Evidently Panama Slim was
negotiating with entrepreneurs in the Bolivian lowlands to
build a race track. I imagined there could be some sort of
gig in it for me, and with racing involved, how could I not
be curious?
They had once raced in the eternal-Spring
valley city of Cochabamba,
but the 9,000 foot altitude was simply too much for the
horses. The highest U.S. track is near Santa Fe, at 7,000
feet, and even Arapahoe, at 5,200 feet, is a difficult race
course for incoming shippers. One of my favorite angles
involves horses vanning down to a sea level track from
Arapahoe, provided they showed their previous work at
Arapahoe within two days of the race.
Racing failed to thrive in
Cochabamba, and marketing problems shared the blame with the
uncomfortable altitude. At near sea level, Santa Cruz was
horse friendly. People gambled on local card games, cock
fights, and even motorcycle drag races. The Santa Cruz
region had replaced La Paz as Bolivia’s business center and
money passed freely from hand to hand, disposable income
that could easily find its way into pari-mutuel pools.
Agribusiness and banking were big. Once you got out of the
city, the Santa Cruz
hinterlands were Bolivia’s version of manifest destiny, with
pioneers and adventurers drawn there in hopes of getting
rich. I would learn the details from Panama Slim.
Miami should have been a simple transition. But something
was coming over me. Carrying only a backpack, I found myself
yearning to haul some bulky luggage, envying people with the
heaviest loads. It was uncharacteristic. I'd spent the
decade avoiding heavy objects ever since I'd worked on a
janitorial staff and had had to bump and roll refrigerators
up staircases. It was a small frame lifting big frame, and I
did it, but not without discomfort.
My ex-wife had a penchant for home improvement
and she would start things that I had to finish. The finish
might include disposing of heavy boxes of refuse, or
changing the position of oversized furniture.
That was not the reason for my petitioning
divorce, but it certainly didn't help the marriage. In a
moment of epiphany, I had resolved to avoid all unpleasant
physical labor connected to human maintenance. I even made
that clear before I married Sonia. As it was, 80 percent of
life is spent on maintenance, and I was committed to
improving the quality of the maintenance time. I'd paid my
dues.
Now, here in
Miami, I was experiencing my Arapahoe-shipper angle in the
flesh, and was bursting with pent energy. I found myself
volunteering to lift an old lady's bulky suitcase from the
carousel to the trolley.
My bloodstream was brimming with the extra red
corpuscles that the body manufactures to compensate for the
low air pressure and resulting lack of oxygen at obscenely
high altitudes.
Considering my newly obtained superpowers, I
discarded the rent-a-car idea, and resolved to buy a used
bicycle for my energizing commute between the
Glens Falls summer cottage of my aunt Ada and
Saratoga. My 88-year-old aunt, ruggedly individualistic,
would not consider the possibility of a nursing home, and
continued to maintain this cottage as well as her regular
home, a wobbly Victorian structure near downtown Albany.
Getting a bicycle was both an aesthetic and a
strategic decision. I had found that bicycle commuting to
Laurel Race Course had sharpened my mind for the intense
decision-making tasks of in-the-trenches horse betting.
The first two afternoons of
Saratoga racing proved that the anomaly of August fog in the Andes
had carried over into the races. I hadn't the mistiest
notion of how to pick a winner. The usual methods, based on
small-track shippers and Saratoga trainer specialists, were
not working. The turf course, which once favored closers,
was now an ally of front runners,
but turf horses that had never raced in front were suddenly
changing their styles and leading the pack.
Saratoga, my mistress, was spurning me.
For me, dying in the
Andes is not as bad as losing at Saratoga,
so I decided to take out a compass and find my way.
My compass was the racing column of Nick Kling.
Kling, a farmer, a poet, and a nice guy, was one of those
few public handicappers who actually cared about the folks
who read his picks. He wanted them to win. Their happiness
was linked to his success.
As a result, Kling was a rarity among public
handicappers. He measured his results. Forced to pick a
winner for every single race no matter how undecipherable,
and two days prior to the scratches that might change the
complexion of a race, Kling resolved to show a flat-bet
profit at the end of each meet. Most of the time, he
achieved his goal. If you've never bet two bucks, a flat-bet
profit is the outcome of wagering an equal amount of money
on each horse (flat bet), and your bottom line at the end of
the meet is positive.
Betting to win randomly results in a loss of
about 25 cents for each dollar, based on the tax, called the
takeout, levied by the broker (the track) in the form of
deductions from winning payouts, which amounted to around 15
percent at the time. But pin-the-tail-on-the-program random
betting performs even worse than the track takeout as a
result of little understood fact: random betting picks more
overvalued horses than undervalued ones.
By using Kling's picks as a foundation, I would
gain twenty-five points in my return on investment! Given
that significant percentage improvement, all I would have to
do is filter out particular Kling picks that had a reason to
lose, based on scenarios that Nick could not have
anticipated 48 hours in advance. Nick picks a come-from-behinder
because three front runners figure to burn each other out.
Nick grimaces when two of those front-runners scratch out of
the race, and the remaining pace setter can control the
lead. Nick's come-from-behinder now has no chance but he has
to live with his pick. I don't.
Nick doesn't hang out in the press box. He's
not a joiner. But when you meet him one-on-one, he wants to
hear what you have to say.
On the morning of the third day of races, I
located Nick on the backside, in front of the Barclay Tagg
stable.
"Hey, Nick, I'm glad I found you."
"Matt, you're home again."
As we shook hands, I reminded myself to say
nothing about my Nick-picking strategy. Never tell a friend
that you are playing his horses, or subconsciously he might
become overcautious. He might balk at picking longshots that
he’d otherwise embrace.
We had coffee in the greasy spoon backside
kitchen. I filled him in on
Bolivia, the Marianelas and Panama Slim. Nick clicked open
his briefcase, reached in and extracted a few copies of his
most recent poems. I expected I’d enjoy them, recalling the
flashes of lyricism in his racing columns.
"So you're meeting Panama Slim," Nick said.
"Don't let him walk over you."
"What do ya mean?" I asked.
"You'll find out."
I ended the day with a profit, thanks to a
$16.60 winner in the fifth race, and helped by the fact that
I'd excluded a Kling pick in the third race, following a
negative rider change. (Nick had picked the horse because
his last two wins were with Migliore aboard but the Mig was
off his mounts for the day and the new rider was a no-win
journeyman.)
I was supposed to meet Panama Slim at
6:30 at Mangino's Ristorante. The worst I could do was get a
free meal, real New York Italian food. Ever since the
seventh race, I was thinking in terms of eggplant parmesana.
I was oblivious to the post-race traffic. I
used the road shoulder like the passing lane in the stretch
of a harness track. From my angle the aroma of pine trees
outperformed the exhaust fumes. I got there at
6:25, only to find not a single nearby post
for locking my bicycle. Everything in the infrastructure is
made for the automobile. Nothing for the bicycle. Life has
been programmed so there will be no alternative to driving.
The guys in the kitchen told me that my bike would be safe
in the back between the trash bins.
By
6:35 I was rushing into the restaurant as if my eggplant
parmesana might not wait for me.
Over the phone, Panama Slim had told me he'd be wearing a
Santa Anita baseball cap. I picked him out at the bar. As
his name suggested, it was the bar sitting at Panama Slim
and not the other way around. His head was a size too large
for his already bulky frame. He was a Cadillac with a 747
engine bulging from under the hood. This was probably the
first time that the tough black-shirted bartender had ever
felt intimidated.
Continued
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